AFL Betting Tips 2025: Round 16 Best Bets And Betting Trends
There are still nine rounds remaining in the 2025 AFL season, and yet it feels as though there are only a few chances left for those 10th or lower in the ladder.
A two-win gap has opened up between ninth-placed Gold Coast and 10th-placed Carlton, who don’t look capable of bridging the deficit, nor do almost all of those below them.
The clash between Port Adelaide and Carlton on Thursday night shapes up as a pseudo-knockout, whilst Sydney’s season will also be on life support if they lose to eighth-placed Bulldogs.
As usual, we’ve scanned the hundreds of markets offered by the best Australian betting apps and we’ve picked three favourites to cover some handsome handicaps, whilst finding you the best odds in the country for three popular player picks to add to your same game multis. Good luck!
AFL Round 16 Predictions:
- Hawthorn -31.5 points - 1.90 With Betr
- Collingwood -55.5 points - 1.73 With PlayUp
- Fremantle -22.5 points - 1.90 With Picklebet
Hawthorn Vs North Melbourne, Saturday 4:15pm AEST
Hawthorn might be keen on scheduling even more games in Launceston in future years, given how they’ve turned it into an interstate fortress in the last few years.
The Hawks won nine of their last 10 matches at UTAS Stadium following that bizarre 47-44 win against Adelaide and, not only that, they covered the pre-match handicap in all 10 games!
They’ve been very reliable favourites across the year with a 7-2 record and a 64% success rate at covering the line - the equal third-best in the league as of the start of this round.
Considering the general disparity between the sides over the last five years, it comes as no surprise that Hawthorn also hold a six-game winning streak against North Melbourne.
The last three all came by margins greater than the 31.5 point line set by Australian betting sites for this clash.
Whilst North Melbourne will be boosted by last week’s victory, which probably said more about Carlton than it did about the Roos, their last back-to-back wins came in the first two rounds of 2023, and they’re yet to beat a top-eight side this year.
Mabior Chol is often a popular pick with punters in the goals markets, having cleared 2+ goals in six of his nine winning appearances in 2025, so he’s expected to be a positive contributor to what should be another Hawthorn win.
Best Bet: Hawthorn -31.5 points - 1.90 With Betr
Player Prop: Mabior Chol 2+ goals - 1.70 With Bet365
Collingwood Vs West Coast, Saturday 7:35pm AEST
First takes on 18th, and the Eagles will be hoping to avoid a repeat of last year’s corresponding match-up, when they were beaten at the MCG by 66 points.
AFL bookmakers are asking Collingwood to cover a -59.5 point line, which they have done only once since last meeting West Coast in Round nine last year.
They went close on a couple of occasions, beating Brisbane and Hawthorn by 52 and 51 points respectively, which is why we’ll be choosing to take an alternate line at a shorter price.
West Coast have sadly become synonymous with enormous losses in the last few years, but those results have mostly dried up of late, with just one of their last nine matches seeing them lose by at least 60 points (66 v Adelaide).
They fought hard to come back from a slow start against Carlton and, having had a bye week to recuperate physically, should be fresh to put up a good fight against the leaders.
We’ll take the -55.5 point line to buy a few points of insurance.
Dan McStay kicked two goals in both appearances since returning from injury, and with Collingwood likely to rack up a big score, we’ll also back him to do so a third time.
Best Bet: Collingwood -55.5 points - 1.73 With PlayUp
Player Prop: Daniel McStay 2+ goals - 1.67 With Unibet
Fremantle Vs St Kilda, Sunday 5:10pm AEST
How quickly things can change in six weeks…
Fremantle scored an embarrassing 33 points against St Kilda at Marvel Stadium, and when Collingwood ruthlessly kicked 15.7 against them the following week, head coach Justin Longmuir admitted their confidence was shot.
The 44-year-old former Docker has been able to instil a dramatic change in their attitude and belief. He has attributed that to the five consecutive wins they have picked up since last facing the Saints.
The Saints, on the other hand, have lost five of their last six games, including against lowly Carlton and West Coast.
The Dockers are 5-0 as home favourites after showing some swagger against Essendon last Thursday, are on a 10-day backup, and should be far too good for a struggling opposition.
Caleb Serong is the favourite with most betting sites to be Fremantle’s leading disposal-getter, but on Bet365 you could get the same price for both he or Andrew Brayshaw to record 30+ disposals at 1.87.
Having seen as little as 1.50 available elsewhere for Serong, who averages an outstanding 33 disposals per game when the Dockers win, Bet365 is the place to go.
Best Bet: Fremantle -22.5 points - 1.90 With Picklebet
Player Prop: Caleb Serong 30+ disposals - 1.63 With Bet365
